posted on: October 19, 2020
Of the intensity models, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratorypredicted an intensity of 135 mph (217 km/h) within 36 hours, with other forecasts being more conservative in their predictions. Wilma weakened as it quickly crossed the state, and entered the Atlantic Ocean near Jupiter, Florida.
Surface buoy reports indicated that, due to its large size, the system failed to strengthen beyond tropical depression status, even though it received tropical storm strength Dvorak classifications from The National Hurricane Center's Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Satellite Analysis Branch. Most Popular Now | 56,514 people are reading stories on the site right now. During the second week of October, an unusually large, monsoon-like lower-level circulation and a broad area of disturbed weather developed over much of the Caribbean Sea. [5] By late on October 15, the surface circulation became defined well enough, with sufficiently organized deep convection, for the National Hurricane Center to designate the system as Tropical Depression Twenty-Four while it was located about 220 miles (350 km) east-southeast of Grand Cayman.
Your browser or your browser's settings are not supported. ", "Hurricane Wilma Public Advisory Seventeen", "Atlantic hurricane best track (HURDAT version 2)", "Resúmen de la temporada de ciclones tropicales 2005, 1ra parte", "Hurricane Wilma Discussion Twenty-Seven", "Resúmen del Huracán "Wilma" del Océano Atlántico", "Hurricane Wilma Special Discussion Thirty-Eight", "Tropical Storm Alpha Tropical Cyclone Report", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Meteorological_history_of_Hurricane_Wilma&oldid=983013059, Meteorological histories of individual tropical cyclones, Articles with dead external links from March 2014, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 11 October 2020, at 18:42.
[1] During the time, the large circulation of Wilma absorbed the much smaller Tropical Depression Alpha over the Bahamas. [16] It is estimated by Dr. Eric Uhlhorn of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division that the winds may have peaked at between 209 and 229 mph rounded to 210 and 230 mph respectively following that Hurricane Hunter mission. The areas threatened by the new hurricane are still recovering from the devastation caused by hurricanes Katrina and Rita. [1], The depression tracked slowly westward, a motion due to weak steering currents caused by a high pressure area to its north across the Gulf of Mexico. On October 21, 2005, Wilma slowly crossed over Cozumel as a strong Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds reported at up to 230 kilometers per hour (144 miles per hour) by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). javascript is enabled. The system drifted westward, and early on October 14 the convection became more concentrated and a little better organized as upper-level wind shear lessened slightly. It was then that the National Hurricane Center first indicated that it was possible for a tropical depression to develop in the area. [1] Shortly after reaching hurricane strength, the hurricane began undergoing explosive deepening, after the development of a "pinhole" eye 9 miles (14 km) in diameter.
[1] As the hurricane moved further inland, the eye became cloud-filled as the deepest convection began to warm, and the winds gradually weakened during its passage over land. This was due to unusually low pressures across the region, which resulted in a lesser pressure gradient and thus lighter winds. [16] By late on October 19, the winds in Hurricane Wilma decreased to 160 mph (260 km/h) as the inner 5-mile (8 km) wide eye weakened and the wind field expanded. [11], The storm continued to the southwest while deep convection persisted near the center.
[13], Tropical Storm Wilma began to turn to the west-northwest on October 18,[1] during which the storm developed a small, intermittent and ragged eye feature.
Wilma at peak, record intensity on October 17 https://archive.is/20130625152928/img217.imageshack.us/img217/5701/hurricanewilmavx0.png Formation October 15, 2005 Dissipation October 25, 2005 Highest winds 185 mph Lowest pressure 882 millibars Deaths 23 direct, 40 indirect Damages $28.9 billion (2005 USD) Areas affected Haiti, Jamaica, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize, Yucatan Peninsula, Florida, Bahamas, Atlantic Cana… [1] Early on October 24, Wilma attained major hurricane status while located about 120 miles (190 km) west-southwest of Key West, Florida.
The hurricane could hit western Cuba or the Yucatan Peninsula before heading into the Gulf of Mexico and Florida by the weekend.
[1] By October 13, a broad area of low pressure developed and persisted about 150 miles (240 km) southeast of Jamaica,[2] possibly aided by the passage of tropical waves through the area at the time. The system was enhanced by diffluence from an upper-level low across the southwestern Atlantic.
[24], On October 22, the mid-level ridge to the north of Wilma essentially dissipated, leaving the hurricane drifting northward across the northeastern Yucatán Peninsula.
It weakened slightly as it continued northwestward, and struck the Mexican mainland near Puerto Morelos, Quintana Roo, at 0330 UTC on October 22, with winds of 135 mph (217 km/h)[1] and gusts of up to 170 mph (270 km/h). [18], Shortly after peaking in intensity, the coldest cloud tops surrounding the eye warmed slightly and an outer eyewall began to develop, signifying an eyewall replacement cycle was occurring. [1] The system continued to organize, with the National Hurricane Center remarking the system could ultimately become a hurricane. Of the intensity models, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory predicted an intensity of 135 mph (217 km/h) within 36 hours, with other forecasts being more conservative in their predictions. [1] In the span of just 24 hours, Wilma had intensified from a 70 mph (110 km/h) tropical storm to a 175 mph (282 km/h) Category 5 hurricane, an unprecedented event for an Atlantic hurricane.
[1] Convection increased and became slightly better organized, though upper-level wind shear initially prevented development.
Environmental conditions remained favorable,[1] with the eye becoming more distinct early on October 21. It has grown into a Category 2 storm, packing winds of 110mph (160km/h…
[29] Despite wind shear values of about 30 mph (48 km/h), Wilma strengthened further to reach winds of 125 mph (201 km/h).
Wilma has raised concerns regarding oil production in the Gulf of Mexico. [31], Shortly after its secondary peak intensity, the wind shear, combined with its rapid forward motion of 50 mph (80 km/h), resulted in a steady weakening trend. [15], Early on October 19, Wilma attained major hurricane status while continuing to rapidly intensify, and by 0600 UTC, the storm's maximum sustained winds increased to 165 mph (266 km/h), making Wilma a dangerous Category 5 storm on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. "; Heavy rainfall flooded several low-lying communities in Jamaica, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites, How the world's oldest clove tree defied an empire, Why Royal Ballet principal Sergei Polunin quit. [26] Upon reaching open waters, Reconnaissance Aircraft reported the remains of an inner eyewall and an outer eyewall oscillating between 70 and 90 miles (110 and 140 km) in diameter. National Hurricane Center forecaster James Franklin remarked, "Confidence at the later ranges [of the forecast track] was unusually low", due to wide divergences between computer models. [1] Operationally, the peak intensity was estimated at 175 mph (282 km/h).
Initially, the center of circulation was broad without a defined inner core; forecaster Lixion Avila remarked, "The area of minimum pressure could [have been] anywhere within 60 miles (97 km) of its [initial advisory position]." The authorities in Honduras are preparing for evacuations. [8] Continued reconnaissance flights reported peak winds of about 30 mph (48 km/h). Initially, the tropical depression was forecast to drift west-southwestward before turning to the north; within five days of the forecast's issuance, the system was predicted to be located about 80 miles (130 km) south of the Isle of Youth as a 105 mph (169 km/h) hurricane. A number of countries in storm-battered Central America have issued alerts. Convection deepened around the eyewalls,[27] and the inner core of convection, which had previously become disrupted over land, became slightly better defined. xmlns:xsl='http://www.w3.org/1999/XSL/Transform'">. In Jamaica, heavy rainfall flooded several low-lying communities, blocked roads and forced 100 people into shelters, according to local officials. Shortly after exiting the Florida coastline, Wilma began to re-intensify,[1] believed to be due to a reduction of friction of the eyewall and warm waters of the Gulf Stream. A large area of disturbed weather developed across much of the Caribbean Sea and gradually organized to the southeast of Jamaica. The depression drifted southwestward, and under favorable conditions, it strengthened into Tropical Storm Wilma on October 17. Computer models predicted steady strengthening as the depression tracked westward before turning to the north.
The central pressure rapidly dropped 54 mbar (1.65 inHg) from 0000 to 0600 UTC, and at 0800 UTC, a Hurricane Hunters flight recorded a minimum central pressure of 884 mbar (26.10 inHg) in a dropsonde near the center of the extremely small eye. By October 26, it transitioned into an extratropical cyclone, and the next day, the remnants of Wilma were absorbed by another extratropical storm over Atlantic Canada. It has grown into a Category 2 storm, packing winds of 110mph (160km/h) and unleashing heavy rain over the region. After the inner eye dissipated due to an eyewall replacement cycle, Hurricane Wilma weakened to Category 4 status, and on October 21, it made landfall on Cozumel and on the Mexican mainland with winds of about 150 mph (240 km/h). Nearly 1,200 people were killed in the US by Katrina in August, and hundreds more died in Mexico and Central America when Hurricane Stan struck early this month. [2][3], Later on October 14, the system became much better defined, with increasingly organized shower and thunderstorm activity, as conditions in the upper levels of the atmosphere became significantly more favorable. By late on October 15, the system was sufficiently organized for the National Hurricane Center to designate it as Tropical Depression Twenty-Four.
The pressure continued to fall as the Hurricane Hunters left the hurricane, and it is possible the pressure was slightly lower. The US Hurricane Center in Miami said that Wilma's path may take it away from the US Gulf Coast. [1][20] Initially, the hurricane was forecast to re-intensify into a Category 5 hurricane,[21] with one forecast predicting it to make landfall on the Yucatán Peninsula with winds of 165 mph (266 km/h),[22] though Wilma remained a strong Category 4 hurricane as it tracked northwestward. [4] Dvorak classifications were initiated on October 15.
Computer models predicted steady strengthening as the depression tracked westward before turning to the north. A hurricane watch remained in effect for the Cayman Islands, while Honduras was on alert for a tropical storm.
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